{"id":1386,"date":"2020-11-30T08:01:54","date_gmt":"2020-11-30T08:01:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.uk\/?p=1386"},"modified":"2021-03-05T11:43:55","modified_gmt":"2021-03-05T11:43:55","slug":"nuclear-outages-cause-output-to-slump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/?p=1386","title":{"rendered":"Nuclear outages cause output to slump"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>by Dr Malte Jansen, Imperial College London<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Britain\u2019s nuclear power production fell to what is perhaps its lowest level in 40 years. <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The country\u2019s reactor fleet have typically produced 6\u20138 GW over the past decade, but on August 23rd output fell to just 2.49 GW \u2013 less than&nbsp;the combined capacity of the original Magnox fleet built in the 1960s.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>The chart below shows the nuclear output during 2020 compared to the range seen over the past decade.&nbsp;&nbsp;The low of 2.49 GW happened on a Sunday afternoon when demand was low, yet nuclear still fell to just 8% of electricity production \u2013 it\u2019s lowest since records began.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"556\" src=\"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x-1024x556.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x-1024x556.png 1024w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x-768x417.png 768w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x-1536x833.png 1536w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.1_2@2x.png 1880w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Output from nuclear power plants during 2020, compared to the range of output over the last decade<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past decade the country\u2019s last four Magnox reactors (at Oldbury and Wylfa) have shut down.&nbsp;&nbsp;The remaining fleet of 15 reactors is moving towards the end of their working lives, with most aged 30 to 45 years old.&nbsp;&nbsp;There are many reasons why nuclear output would be dwindling: outages for maintenance and repair are a key factor, but system stability and the ongoing coronavirus response also play a part.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dungeness B has been on a long shutdown since late 2018, and is expected to restart at the end of this year after two years of maintenance.&nbsp;&nbsp;The country\u2019s oldest reactors, Hunterston B and Hinkley Point B, are both on planned outages for inspection, after&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk-news\/2020\/aug\/27\/hunterston-scottish-nuclear-power-station-to-shut-down-early-after-reactor-problems\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">hundreds of cracks were found in their graphite cores<\/a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;At the same time, Sizewell B plus one reactor at Hartlepool A, Heysham A and Torness were all offline for various reasons, leaving only one station (Heysham B) operating close to full capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"556\" src=\"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x-1024x556.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1404\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x-1024x556.png 1024w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x-768x417.png 768w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x-1536x833.png 1536w, https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/20Q3_4.2_1@2x.png 1880w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Availability from nuclear power plants during 2020, highlighting August 23<sup>rd<\/sup>&nbsp;when output was at its lowest<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/06BDAB1E-B101-4943-91CB-9FA43D5F4B8D#_ftn1\"><sup><strong>[1]<\/strong><\/sup><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The chart (left) shows the reactor outages seen over 2020.&nbsp;&nbsp;On August 23rd, close to three quarters of our nuclear reactor fleet was out of action.&nbsp;Nuclear power output can are also be determined by grid requirements. National Grid issues instructions to turn generators off or on to maintain system stability.&nbsp;&nbsp;One of their concerns comes when the system becomes low on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.drax.com\/technology\/shock-absorbers-keeping-grid-stable\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u2018system inertia\u2019<\/a>, meaning that the frequency of the electricity supplied can change rapidly if a generator is suddenly lost.&nbsp;&nbsp;This poses a threat to keeping system frequency close to 50 Hz, and force emergency measures such as disconnecting consumers, as happened during&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.drax.com\/energy-policy\/britains-blackout\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the blackout of August 2019<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sizewell B is Britain\u2019s largest generating unit, and so represents the largest \u2018loss of infeed\u2019 risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;If it suddenly disconnected, up to 1320 MW of capacity would be lost.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/06BDAB1E-B101-4943-91CB-9FA43D5F4B8D#_ftn2\"><sup>[2]<\/sup><\/a>&nbsp;&nbsp;Normally it is perfectly safe for the rest of the system to accommodate this loss, but with&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/electricinsights.co.uk\/#\/reports\/report-2020-q1\/detail\/under-lockdown-every-day-is-a-sunday\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">COVID restrictions expected to keep electricity demand lower than usual<\/a>, fewer conventional power stations (coal, gas or biomass) would be available to counter such a failure.&nbsp;&nbsp;National Grid sought the permission to turn Sizewell B down to half its normal output, meaning the largest potential loss was instead the French interconnector at 1000 MW.&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.edfenergy.com\/media-centre\/news-releases\/sizewell-b-restores-full-power\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sizewell lowered its output<\/a>&nbsp;between May and September, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.co.uk\/edition\/business\/national-grid-pays-sizewell-b-owner-for-halving-power-output-0h6gh02z9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">was paid \u00a373&nbsp;million<\/a>&nbsp;by National Grid in compensation.&nbsp;&nbsp;This in turn&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/business\/u-k-electricity-price-spike-raises-questions-for-national-grid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">wrought havoc with wholesale electricity prices<\/a>, as by the time we got to the end of August, lockdowns had eased around the country and demand was back to within 1% of historical levels.&nbsp;&nbsp;On 15 September,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/theenergyst.com\/power-prices-soar-as-national-grid-issues-capacity-market-notice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">National Grid ESO had to issue a capacity market notice<\/a>&nbsp;because not enough generation was expected to be available to meet demand, even though Sizewell B was still being paid to remain offline.The current COVID situation provides a petri-dish for looking at the future of our energy system, and it shows that having more flexible and price-responsive units will be essential to balancing out the increasing volatility of both electricity supply and demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/06BDAB1E-B101-4943-91CB-9FA43D5F4B8D#_ftnref1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a>&nbsp;Data from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmreports.com\/bmrs\/?q=remit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Elexon\u2019s REMIT platform<\/a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;Operators give their planned maintenance schedule in advance, so the chart is able to show the whole of 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/06BDAB1E-B101-4943-91CB-9FA43D5F4B8D#_ftnref2\"><sup>[2]<\/sup><\/a>&nbsp;Once Hinkley Point C opens, it will become the largest generator in the country, raising the loss of infeed risk to 1630 MW, making the job of balancing the power system more challenging.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Britain\u2019s nuclear power production fell to what is perhaps its lowest level in 40 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1386","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-q3-2020"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1386","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1386"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1386\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1457,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1386\/revisions\/1457"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1386"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1386"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reports.electricinsights.co.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1386"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}